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Table of Contents

• ↓ Latest insights
• ↓ Launch of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2026-2035
• ↓ Over the next decade, productivity gains are expected to raise agricultural incomes, but substantial differences across income groups will persist
• ↓ As incomes grow, dietary patterns are expected to further diversify in middle-income countries over the next decade
• ↓ Trade flows between surplus and deficit regions are projected to grow
• ↓ Agricultural Outlook Translated Summaries
• ↓ Top Alternatives to agri-outlook.org

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"Farm incomes set to rise over next decade – but volatility puts gains at risk"

"The OECD FAO Agricultural Outlook 2026–2035 assesses ten-year prospects for agricultural commodities and aquatic food markets at global, regional and national levels."

"Global production is projected to expand by 13% over the next ten years, driven mainly by productivity improvements and intensification, with growth concentrated in Asia, sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America. Direct agricultural greenhouse gas emissions are expected to increase by 6.5%, considerably slower than production growth. Projected productivity gains raise global gross agricultural income per worker by 9% by 2035, but inherent variability in natural and economic conditions still leaves a 25% chance of a 3% decline in workers’ income."

"A supplementary analysis suggests that disruptions associated with the 2026 Middle East conflict will constrain fertiliser use and as a result cereal production, especially in low-income countries. In this context, international agricultural trade remains critical to balance supply and demand and mitigate adverse food security impacts."

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Latest insights

Launch of the OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2026-2035

Over the next decade, productivity gains are expected to raise agricultural incomes, but substantial differences across income groups will persist

As incomes grow, dietary patterns are expected to further diversify in middle-income countries over the next decade

Trade flows between surplus and deficit regions are projected to grow

Agricultural Outlook Translated Summaries